Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 8.454493 9.663474 10.995846 12.575065 14.398339 16.440295 18.904740
2025-09-07 7.043288 8.666791 10.600704 13.081759 16.191329 19.974074 24.946482
2025-09-14 6.079598 7.882540 10.152434 13.234917 17.334944 22.633068 30.050274
2025-09-21 5.329818 7.209066 9.683761 13.204253 18.121585 24.801651 34.658219
2025-09-28 4.713758 6.610570 9.206450 13.050300 18.651725 26.599964 38.881051
2025-10-05 4.398992 6.376413 9.179770 13.486836 20.014257 29.659327 45.218829
2025-10-12 4.108511 6.136136 9.104108 13.819981 21.228073 32.589772 51.663851
2025-10-19 3.896091 5.983154 9.130676 14.291867 22.677875 35.999945 59.227851
2025-10-26 3.519545 5.538214 8.663316 13.931830 22.751419 37.206442 63.274461
2025-11-02 3.230860 5.202493 8.331417 13.747331 23.075450 38.827759 68.172156
2025-11-09 2.984626 4.911579 8.042066 13.597807 23.429248 40.511666 73.338553
2025-11-16 2.756833 4.630267 7.741612 13.395164 23.659299 41.983038 78.254622
2025-11-23 2.536951 4.347000 7.418755 13.131423 23.768445 43.273792 83.038616
2025-11-30 2.468511 4.319952 7.534591 13.662000 25.382364 47.498134 94.030849
2025-12-07 2.348350 4.189977 7.455406 13.822413 26.307609 50.499877 102.919520
2025-12-14 2.211446 4.017772 7.284198 13.790296 26.850484 52.799119 110.613188
2025-12-21 2.069608 3.824731 7.057968 13.629052 27.115867 54.558477 117.349068
2025-12-28 2.018648 3.798562 7.142633 14.086277 28.679423 59.140163 130.855642
2026-01-04 1.957273 3.747027 7.173336 14.435242 30.048203 63.447363 144.280320
2026-01-11 1.915846 3.730922 7.271169 14.929581 31.773286 68.702279 160.592159
2026-01-18 1.783285 3.522703 6.968774 14.552408 31.553208 69.607283 166.544441
2026-01-25 1.680119 3.366638 6.760568 14.359140 31.723797 71.413276 174.944255
2026-02-01 1.588339 3.227395 6.576598 14.202515 31.961347 73.395125 184.037188